Khebab did a great job aggregating various oil depletion models to compare against November production numbers at TOD. He split them up according to "bottom-up" models and "curve-fitting" models, which seems like a smart and fresh way of doing things. My analysis falls in the curve fitting camp, so I have to thank him personally for allowing us amateurs to play with the big boys. FWIW, the Oil Shock model seems to follow most closely the ASPO-45 model for the next ten years.P.S. The best unintentional Peak Oil cartoon ever.